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Dan's avatar

Josh, why has this subscription gone dark? Paid version is for 4 entries a week but you've only posted 4 times in the last *month*.

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Colin Chaudhuri's avatar

In your comment that you are more impressed with Kevin McCarthy then you were before, I think it mostly highlights to me that in the words of a famous TV character from a show likely popular with readers of this substack, the Freedom Caucus (and specifically people like MTG and Matt Gaetz) are not serious people.

The Freedom Caucus and even just a few GOP House members could absolutely have tanked this deal if they wanted to. The fact that a few made noises in this direction but ultimately did nothing is very instructive. Namely, it further proves to me that the loudest (and most obnoxious) voices in the GOP caucus care much more about press coverage and ultimately could care less about policy*. In a way, this is possibly comforting in that it possibly means the GOP won't follow through with their most extreme policy agenda. I happen to think this is mistaken. A party not actually committed to an agenda is essentially a party committed to nihilism and I think directly leads to encouraging it's most devoted voters to think overthrowing an election for a madman is an actually patriotic thing to do. But it does seem to me that at least on banal Congressional agenda items, Biden and McCarthy should take their maximalist demands with a heaping grain of salt**.

*I think it's mistaken for people like Matt Yglesias says that the GOP has no policy agenda outside of tax cuts. I think it's more accurate to say the GOP has no congressional agenda outside of tax cuts, but a pretty substantive agenda they are hoping to achieve through the courts. I think the idea is that the courts ruling their way on all sorts of regulatory and labor issues will minimize the voter backlash to very unpopular policies. And I suspect they are right (I honestly think Dobbs (and subsequent decisions like that insane one from Mathew Kacsmaryk) is probably unique in how much the American public is aware what the courts are up to).

**One victory lap I'll take is that one reason I was pretty confident a deal would be made is pure financial self interest. Tell a bunch of dyed in the wool right wing House members the consequences to their stock portfolio of a debt default and watch a whole bunch of those House members back down. If reporting is to believed, it seems this is precisely what happened in at least a few cases. Having said that, the lack of personal financial self interest involved with other Freedom Caucus priorities may be a reason I should be more worried that they'll actually try to impose their agenda on McCarthy.

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